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NOAA>NWS>NCEP>OPC>Coastal Guidance>ESTOFS Storm Surge Model Guidance Areas

 

ESTOFS Storm Surge Model Guidance

(Mouseover and click the area where you would like to view the current extratropical storm surge model guidance data)

Image map of ESTOFS Surge Model Guidance Areas US MID-ATLANTIC COAST ESTOFS SURGE US NORTHEAST COAST ESTOFS SURGE US SOUTHEAST ESTOFS SURGE US WEST GULF OF MEXICO COAST ESTOFS SURGE US EAST GULF OF MEXICO COAST ET SURGE MODEL

DATA is available in GRIB and NetCDF formats via NOMADS: http://nomads.ncep.noaa.gov/

ESTOFS (Extratropical Surge and Tide Operational Forecast System) is a collaboration between the NOAA/NOS/Coast Survey Develompment Lab and NOAA/NCEP. ESTOFS provides a second operational set of forecast guidance in addition to the ET-SURGE (ETSS) model and uses the circulation model ADCIRC. Tides are included in ESTOFS and forced at its boundaries from the global tidal model TPXO8-ATLAS and refined further within ADCIRC.

ESTOFS Atlantic v 2.0 provides a coastal grid resolution of up to 200 m and an overland resolution extending to approximately the 10 m elevation relative to NAVD88. For more details see: ESTOFS v 2.0 Service Change Notice

ESTOFS Pacific provides coastal grid resolutions of 2.5 km for the U.S. West Coast, 2.5 km for Hawaii, and 6 km for Alaska. For more details see: ESTOFS Pacific Service Change Notice

The ESTOFS model is run on NCEP's central computing system four times daily out to 180 hours producing numerical storm surge guidance for extratropical systems. The model is forced by real time output of winds and pressures from the NCEP Global Forecast System (GFS). The current coverage of the operational ESTOFS forecast domains around the U.S. includes those shown in the Figure plus in the Caribbean surrounding Puerto Rico(not shown here).

The ready availability of numerical guidance from the operational ESTOFS will enhance the ability of NCEP (OPC and NHC/TAFB) to provide operational extratropical coastal storm surge guidance in the Marine Weather Discussion (MWD), also known as MIM.

Note: The Extra-Tropical Storm Surge information shown here should not be used for tropical cyclone events. For official storm surge information associated with tropical cyclones, please consult advisories and warnings issued by the National Hurricane Center.

Comments or Questions

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction (NCWCP)
Ocean Prediction Center
Mr. Darin Figurskey
Chief, Ocean Forecast Branch
NCWCP, W/NP41
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Page last modified:  Thursday, June 09, 2016 14:53:15 UTC