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773
AGPN40 KWNM 041945
MIMPAC
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR N PACIFIC OCEAN
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1208 PM PDT SAT 4 JUL 2009
.FORECAST DISCUSSION: MAJOR FEATURES/WINDS/SEAS/SIGNIFICANT
.WEATHER FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC N OF 30N AND E OF 150W.
HIGH PRES NW OF THE AREA WITH A COASTAL TROUGH EXTENDING N TO S
ALONG THE WEST COAST. AT 18Z A WEAK SFC LOW HAD DEVELOPED 540 NM
W OF CAPE MENDOCINO. THE LAST ASCAT PASS SHOWED WINDS N TO NW 10
TO 20 KT FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO PT REYES AND NW 10 TO 15 KT OVER
THE E PORTION OF PT CONCEPTION TO GUADELOUPE ISLAND. ELSEWHERE
WINDS WERE VARIABLE 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT FROM N OF PT
ARENA N TO CAPE FLATTERY AND 3 TO 5 FT S OF PT ARENA TO
GUADELOUPE ISLAND.
THE GFS...EC AND UKMET ARE ALL CLOSE TO THE SFC PATTERN. THE
PROBLEM OF THE DAY WILL BE IN THE SRN WATERS W OF PT CONCEPTION.
BY MON HIGH PRES BUILDING INTO THE PZ6 WATERS FROM THE NW AND A
THERMAL TROUGH ALONG THE COAST WILL INC THE GRADIENT ALONG THE
COAST...MAINLY TO THE W OF PT CONCEPTION. FOR MON AND TUE HAVE
WINDS TO 25 KT AND THEN WED INTO THU TO 30 KT. YESTERDAY WAS
THINKING OF GALE FORCE WINDS BUT TODAY THE GFS LOOKS SLIGHTLY
WEAKER WITH THE OTHER MODELS ALSO BACKING OFF SLIGHTLY. THE GFS
IS ABT 5 KT STRONGER SO COMFORTABLE WITH SUN-GALE WINDS.
IN THE N WATERS THE PATTERN IS SIGHTLY MORE COMPLICATED BUT WITH
WEAKER WINDS. UPPER TROUGH W OF THE AREA WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE NE
FOR NEXT 36 HOURS PASSING INLAND BY MON MORNING. THEN CLOSED LOW
DEVELOPS OVER THE ARE TUE AND REMAINS INTO THU. AT THE SFC WEAK
LOW W OF THE AREA WILL MOVE NE ACROSS THE CAPE LOOKOUT OT PT ST
GEORGE WATERS SUN AND SUN NIGHT. FOR THIS AREA WINDS WILL BE
WEAK BUT N OF THE LOW N TO NE 10 TO 15 KT. LATER A SECOND LOW
WILL DROP SE INTO THE WATERS TUE AND SLOWLY DISSIPATE INTO THU.
PLAN TO KEEP WINDS 15 KT OR LESS FROM SUN INTO THU.
FOR SEAS WILL GO WITH THE WAVE WATCH MODELS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
FOR THIS PACKAGE THE MODEL IS ABOUT 1 FT LOWER FOR EACH PERIOD
EXCEPT OFF PT CONCEPTION.
.WARNINGS/FORECAST CONFIDENCE...WARNINGS ARE PRELIMINARY AND ARE
SUBJECT TO CHANGE. ANY CHANGES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS
12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE.
.PZ5 WASHINGTON/OREGON WATERS...
.CAPE FLATTERY TO CAPE LOOKOUT...NONE.
.CAPE LOOKOUT TO POINT ST GEORGE...NONE.
.PZ6 CALIFORNIA WATERS...
.PT ST GEORGE TO PT ARENA...NONE.
.PT ARENA TO PT CONCEPTION...NONE.
.PT CONCEPTION TO GUADALUPE ISLAND...NONE.
.FORECASTER OSZAJCA. OCEAN FORECAST BRANCH.
Last Update:19:46Z, 04 July 2009
Updates: Four times per day
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036
FZPN25 KWBC 042150
OFFPZ5
OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
330 PM PDT SAT JUL 4 2009
WASHINGTON AND OREGON WATERS FROM 60 NM TO 250 NM OFFSHORE.
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
PZZ080-050530-
330 PM PDT SAT JUL 4 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR WASHINGTON AND OREGON WATERS...HIGH PRES NW OF THE
WATERS AND A LOW PRES TROUGH NEAR THE COAST WILL BOTH SLOWLY
WEAKEN TONIGHT INTO SUN. A WEAK LOW PRES CENTER WILL MOVE NE
ACROSS THE S WATERS SUN AND INLAND SUN NIGHT. ANOTHER HIGH PRES
CENTER WELL W OF THE AREA WILL DRIFT E SUN NIGHT AND MON AS A
LOW PRES TROUGH FORMS OVER THE REGION. A WEAK LOW PRES AREA WILL
MOVE INTO THE FAR N WATERS TUE AND WEAKEN WED AND THU.
$$
PZZ081-050530-
CAPE FLATTERY TO CAPE LOOKOUT
330 PM PDT SAT JUL 4 2009
.TONIGHT...N TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT.
SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...HIGHEST W. SEAS
5 TO 6 FT.
.MON...NW TO W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT.
.TUE...W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT DIMINISHING TO S TO SW 5 TO 10
KT...HIGHEST S. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT.
.WED...WINDS BECOMING E TO SE 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT.
.THU...E TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT.
$$
PZZ082-050530-
CAPE LOOKOUT TO POINT ST GEORGE
330 PM PDT SAT JUL 4 2009
.TONIGHT...N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT S PORTION VARIABLE
WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW PORTION...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO
5 FT. SE PORTION...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT.
.MON...WINDS BECOMING NW 10 TO 15 KT THROUGHOUT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT
THROUGHOUT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT.
.TUE...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING W LATE. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.WED AND THU...W TO NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT WED
SUBSIDING TO AND 4 TO 5 FT THU.
$$
.FORECASTER OSZAJCA. OCEAN FORECAST BRANCH.
Last Update:21:51Z, 04 July 2009
Updates: Four times per day
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783
FZPN26 KWBC 042150
OFFPZ6
OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
330 PM PDT SAT JUL 4 2009
CALIFORNIA WATERS FROM 60 NM TO 250 NM OFFSHORE.
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
PZZ089-050530-
330 PM PDT SAT JUL 4 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR CALIFORNIA WATERS...A LOW PRES TROUGH ALONG THE
COAST WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN TONIGHT...THEN SLOWLY INTENSIFY SUN
THROUGH WED AND WEAKEN AGAIN THU. ANOTHER LOW PRES TROUGH WILL
FORM JUST N OF THE AREA SUN...THEN DISSIPATE MON. A HIGH PRES
RIDGE WILL SLOWLY BUILD SE TOWARD THE REGION SUN THROUGH THU.
$$
PZZ083-050530-
POINT ST GEORGE TO POINT ARENA
330 PM PDT SAT JUL 4 2009
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. PATCHY
FOG. .SUN..VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT BECOMING W LATE. SEAS 4 TO
5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT.
.MON...W TO NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.TUE...NW WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT...HIGHEST SE. SEAS 4
TO 5 FT.
.WED AND THU...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT.
$$
PZZ084-050530-
POINT ARENA TO POINT CONCEPTION
330 PM PDT SAT JUL 4 2009
.TONIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT BECOMING NW LATE.
SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG
EARLY.
.MON...NW WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS FAR SE.
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. HIGHEST WINDS
AND SEAS FAR SE.
.TUE...NW WINDS 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND
SEAS FAR SE.
.WED AND THU...NW WINDS 15 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT FAR SE TO 30 KT.
SEAS 5 TO 8 FT...EXCEPT SE PORTION BUILDING TO 8 TO 11 FT WED.
$$
PZZ085-050530-
POINT CONCEPTION TO GUADALUPE ISLAND
330 PM PDT SAT JUL 4 2009
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT FAR SE PORTION INCREASING
TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT...HIGHEST SE. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.
HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS W AND NW OF THE CHANNEL ISLANDS.
.MON...NW WINDS 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 TO 9 FT. HIGHEST
WINDS AND SEAS W AND NW OF THE CHANNEL ISLANDS.
.TUE AND WED...NW WINDS 15 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT NE PORTION TO 30
KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT...EXCEPT BUILDING TO 8 TO 11 FT TUE. HIGHEST
WINDS AND SEAS W AND NW OF THE CHANNEL ISLANDS.
.THU...NW WINDS 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND
SEAS NE.
$$
.FORECASTER OSZAJCA. OCEAN FORECAST BRANCH.
Last Update:21:53Z, 04 July 2009
Updates: Four times per day
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946
FZPN02 KWBC 042300
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
2345 UTC SAT JUL 04 2009
CCODE/1:31:12:01:00/AOW+POR/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
SECURITE
PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT TO
50N160E
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC JUL 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JUL 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JUL 06.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 43N176W 1003 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. WITHIN 420 NM E AND SE
QUADRANTS AND 240 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO
15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM W AND N...480 NM SE AND E...AND
360 NM S QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N174W 994 MB. WITHIN 300 NM SW
SEMICIRCLE AND 480 NM NE AND 300 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35
KT. SEAS 15 TO 21 FT...HIGHEST E SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE FROM 41N
TO 58N BETWEEN 162W AND 180W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 55N176W 996 MB. WITHIN 360 NM NE
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
420 NM NE AND 240 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18
FT...HIGHEST NE SEMICIRCLE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 56N TO 63N AND W OF 170W S WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MOVED NW OF AREA.
.LOW 37N167E 1011 MB MOVING SE 10 KT. WITHIN 300 NM N QUADRANT
WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 36N169E 1015 MB. CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.48 HOUR FORECAST 43N167E 1004 MB. WITHIN 180 NM N AND 300 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 50N TO 55N BETWEEN 138W AND 145W WINDS
LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.
.WITHIN 840 NM SE OF A LINE FROM 61N176W TO 50N174W AND FROM 44N
TO 52N BETWEEN 153W AND 160W AND FROM 50N TO 54N BETWEEN 145W
AND 149W AREAS OF DENSE FOG REDUCING VSBY BELOW 1 NM.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 50N TO 61N BETWEEN 160W AND 180W AND FROM
44N TO 53N BETWEEN 153W AND 160W AREAS OF DENSE FOG REDUCING
VSBY BELOW 1 NM.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 54N TO 64N BETWEEN 163W AND 180W AND FROM
38N TO 56N BETWEEN 154W AND 165W AREAS OF DENSE FOG REDUCING
VSBY BELOW 1 NM.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 41N TO 50N AND W OF 165E AREAS OF DENSE
FOG REDUCING VSBY BELOW 1 NM.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 44N TO 52N AND W OF 171E AREAS OF DENSE
FOG REDUCING VSBY BELOW 1 NM.
.HIGH 56N150W 1028 MB MOVING S 05 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 54N150W 1028 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 52N151W 1029 MB.
.HIGH 44N158W 1031 MB MOVING SE 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 42N153W 1029 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 41N150W 1029 MB.
.HIGH 44N162E 1020 MB MOVING SE 25 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 40N175E 1020 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 41N174W 1020 MB.
.FORECASTER GARCIA. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUL 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUL 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON JUL 06.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW NEAR 14N105W 1010 MB MOVING NW 10 KT. WITHIN 120 NM NE
QUADRANT OF LOW E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 15N109W 1009 MB. BETWEEN 180 NM
AND 360 NM NE QUADRANT OF LOW E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 16N112W 1008 MB. WITHIN 300 NM NE
SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT IN SE
SWELL. WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 14N TO 19N W OF 134W NE TO E WINDS TO 20
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 14N TO 18N W OF 137W NE TO E WINDS TO 20
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.FROM 09N TO 12N E OF 93W INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 11N86W
TO 11N91W INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 12N E OF 95W INCLUDING THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN E SWELL.
.N OF 28N WITHIN 180 NM OF W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NW TO N
WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.S OF 12N BETWEEN 95W AND 123W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9
FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE S OF LINE FROM 00N128W TO 16N106W TO
11N88W TO 00N92W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE S OF LINE FROM 00N123W TO 19N108W TO
11N88W TO 00N92W AND S OF LINE FROM 00N88W TO 05N84W TO 04N79W
TO 00N81W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.CONVECTION VALID 2115 UTC SAT JUL 04...
.LOW NEAR 14N105W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN
210 NM NE AND 180 SW SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 45 NM
OF 11N106.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF 17.5N112W.
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...08N78W TO 08N90W TO 12N100W TO
10N109W TO 10N121W TO 08N128W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED STRONG
WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 91W AND 97W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG S OF THE AXIS WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE
06N104W TO 06N107W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE
AXIS BETWEEN 119W AND 121W.
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC JUL 04 2009.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JUL 05 2009.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JUL 06 2009.
THIS SEGMENT OF THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST USES 1-MINUTE AVERAGE
WINDS WHICH MAY BE HIGHER THAN 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.COLD FRONT FROM 30N175E TO 26N167E THENCE A STATIONARY FRONT TO
23N160E. COLD FRONT MOVING E 15 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT FROM 30N177W TO 28N173E TO 26N170E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT FROM 30N170W TO 28N173W TO 29N174E.
.WEAK FRONT FROM 30N145W TO 26N149W MOVING E SLOWLY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED.
.TROUGH FROM 06N160E TO 01N166E NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED
MODERATE TSTMS S OF 10N W OF 170E.
.RIDGE FROM 28N160E TO 26N164E MOVING ENE 10 KT.
.RIDGE FROM 30N171W TO 26N177W TO 25N169E MOVING SE SLOWLY.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS ENTIRE AREA.
.SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN AREA BOUNDED BY LINE FROM 17N153W TO 13N141W
TO 05N147W TO 02N164W TO 07N175W TO 17N153W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN AREA BOUNDED BY LINE FROM
16N158W TO 11N144W TO 07N148W TO 05N162W TO 09N168W TO 16N158W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 9 FT FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 166W
AND 156W.
.OTHERWISE...SEAS 8 FT OR LESS.
.ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS IN AREA N OF 27N BETWEEN 177W AND
174W...AND FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 155W AND 150W.
.ITCZ FROM 07N140W TO 04N171W TO 06N175E. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG TSTMS S OF 10N BETWEEN 173E AND 170W. ISOLATED MODERATE
TSTMS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF ITCZ BETWEEN 170W AND 144W.
$$
.HONOLULU HI.
Last Update:21:53Z, 04 July 2009
Updates: Four times per day
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