The images above are from the North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) and depict the probability of 10-meter winds above ground reaching or exceeding a certain threshold. The North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) is a weather modeling system run jointly by the Meteorological Service of Canada (MSC)
and the U.S. National Weather Service (NWS) to provide numerical weather prediction (NWP) products to weather forecasters in both
countries for a forecast period that runs out to 2 weeks in the future.
The NAEFS combines the Canadian global forecast model ensemble and
the NWS global forecast model ensemble into a joint ensemble that creates weather forecasts for all of North America. At present, all
the national weather agencies in North America are participating in NAEFS - the Meteorological Service of Canada, the National
Meteorological Service of Mexico, and the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration NWS.
More information is available from NOAA's Environmental Modeling Center (EMC).
Comments or Questions
Return to main Probabilistic Guidance Page