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NOAA>NWS>NCEP>OPC>Probabilistic Guidance>Probabilistic Wind Speed Guidance>NAEFS Guidance

NAEFS Probabilistic Guidance


Basin:  Atlantic  Pacific     Cycle:  00Z  12Z     Wind (KT):  20  25  30  34  40  48  60     Loop:  Off  On

North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 006 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 012 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image
006 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

012 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 018 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 024 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image
018 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

024 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 030 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 036 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image
030 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

036 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 042 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 048 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image
042 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

048 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 054 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 060 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image
054 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

060 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 066 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 072 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image
066 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

072 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 078 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 084 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image
078 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

084 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 090 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 096 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image
090 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

096 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 102 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 108 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image
102 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

108 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 114 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 120 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image
114 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

120 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 126 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 132 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image
126 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

132 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 138 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 144 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image
138 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

144 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 150 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 156 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image
150 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

156 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 162 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) 168 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt image
162 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

168 Hour Prob 10m Wind >= kt

If you are having problems seeing these loops (requiring the Adobe Flash Player plugin) try the static images link.

The images above are from the North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) and depict the probability of 10-meter winds above ground reaching or exceeding a certain threshold. The North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) is a weather modeling system run jointly by the Meteorological Service of Canada (MSC) and the U.S. National Weather Service (NWS) to provide numerical weather prediction (NWP) products to weather forecasters in both countries for a forecast period that runs out to 2 weeks in the future.

The NAEFS combines the Canadian global forecast model ensemble and the NWS global forecast model ensemble into a joint ensemble that creates weather forecasts for all of North America. At present, all the national weather agencies in North America are participating in NAEFS - the Meteorological Service of Canada, the National Meteorological Service of Mexico, and the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration NWS.

More information is available from NOAA's Environmental Modeling Center (EMC).

Comments or Questions

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Page last modified:  Thursday, March 21, 2013 18:59:17 UTC